Tuesday 24 December 2013

Merry Christmas to all

Some analyst says Singapore market is finally seeing a bottom and bullish momentum is definitely growing. 

Judging by the analysis on the market, there might be good potential in mid cap and of course the dreaded penny stocks recently!

Do not think that it is not possible that Penny stocks might be coming back with a vengeance. Some stocks are brewing up.

With the QE tapering confusion episode over, the selling of STI stocks might be over. There might be a strong rally ahead before Chinese New Year next year.

I am doubtful but I do hope this is true.

Wednesday 18 December 2013

US Fed trims stimulus by $10 billion

(From Article)

By Caroline Valetkevitch

NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S. stocks staged an explosive rally on Wednesday, driving the Dow and the S&P 500 to all-time closing highs after the Federal Reserve announced it would start to unwind its historic stimulus.

While the Fed's move came as a surprise to many in the market, it confirmed that the U.S. economy was on firmer footing and put to rest the question of when the Fed would begin to scale back its bond-buying program, a relief to some investors, analysts said.

"This is a vote of confidence in the economy and represents the first step toward monetary policy normalization," said David Joy, chief market strategist at Ameriprise Financial, in Boston.

The central bank said it would reduce its monthly asset purchases by $10 billion to $75 billion, while it also indicated that its key interest rate would stay at rock bottom even longer than previously promised. It said it "likely will be appropriate" to keep overnight rates near zero "well past the time" that the U.S. jobless rate falls below 6.5 percent.

Yet the decision to move now rather than later pointed to better prospects for the U.S. economy and the labor market. It also marked a turning point for the largest monetary policy experiment ever.

Stocks extended losses just after the announcement, but quickly turned higher and began rallying. The day's move marked the biggest swing from the day's high to the low for the S&P 500 in two years. All 10 S&P 500 sector indexes ended higher, with all but information technology (.SPLRCT) gaining more than 1 percent, and the S&P 500 financial index (CME:^SPSY) rising 2.4 percent.

The Dow Jones industrial average (^DJI) surged 292.71 points or 1.84 percent, to end at 16,167.97, a record closing high. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) gained 29.65 points or 1.66 percent, to finish at 1,810.65, also a record closing high. The Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) climbed 46.384 points or 1.15 percent, to close at 4,070.064.

Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke began hinting at a reduction in the stimulus back in May. The issue of when the Fed would make its move had been a source of uncertainty for markets since then. The Fed surprised markets three months ago by choosing not to reduce its third round of quantitative easing.

Most surveys had forecast the move would occur after December, but recent strong economic data seemed to suggest that the timeline could be pushed up.

"Janet Yellen's imprint is on this move, and that's very good for the markets," said Quincy Krosby, market strategist at Prudential Financial, in Newark, New Jersey, in reference to the Fed's vice chair and President Barack Obama's nominee to succeed Bernanke in the Fed's top job. "It's clear from moves in bonds and equities that the markets discounted this in September."

Wednesday 11 December 2013

Projected dividends for year 2014

(Personal Sharing)

Like my favorite blogger, Dividend Warrior, who reviews his earned dividends every year end in Dec, I think I should do that also.

Estimated dividends for year 2014:
1. Rickers Maritime: 1200
2. Hph trust: 736
3. Cache: 254
4. Sabana: 285
5. First state dividend advantage(unit trust): 360

Total dividends: 2835

Dividend warrior has divested sabana and hph trust. I should do that also when the price is right.

Monday 9 December 2013

Hph trust is worst performer stock

(From Article)

Published on Dec 05, 2013, 3:05 PM, ST

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Hutchison Port Holdings Trust dipped as much as 4.5 per cent to its lowest in nearly two years as a strong technical level was broken, leading losses on the Singapore benchmark index.

HPH Trust fell to as low as US$0.64, a level unseen since January 2012, after breaking below US$0.675 in the previous session, which had been a key technical support since mid-November.

Analysts said that the break of that key technical level, combined with the uncertainty over the US Federal Reserve's stance on monetary stimulus on the market, made HPH Trust the worst performer on the index on Thursday.

Sunday 8 December 2013

Singapore 1st riot after 40 years

(Personal Sharing)

Heard from someone who stays in the vicinity of Little India said that he would try to get home early every weekend because later in the evenings his neighbourhood would transform and it would not feel like Singapore anymore. 

People would congregate in groups of more than 5 in the common areas (although technically these would be unlawful gatherings), drink beer, share food, talk loudly, sing, dance and pee on the walls. It is quite scary.

In the mornings, he would witness the aftermath (the sight and the smell) of such night time activities. Awful..

I stayed at jurong west area. Before jurong point was expanded to include the new condominium and before frontier primary school was constructed, there were congregation in the empty field lands at night and during weekends. Groups of people would also buy drinks from the local stores. They came from nearby workers quarters.

They still gather at night during weekends but the crowd is not as much as before.

Actual happening of the riot: 

WHEN an intoxicated construction worker boarded a packed bus and dropped his trousers on Sunday evening, it set the scene for Singapore's first riot in more than four decades.

The bus driver wanted him out. Madam Wong, 38, the bus assistant, persuaded Mr Sakthivel Kumaravelu to alight.

The bus driver then quickly closed the bus doors and started to ferry the foreign workers in the bus to Jalan Papan from Tekka Lane.

He did not get very far. He was making a left turn into Race Course Road when he heard a loud bang.

He then discovered that he had knocked down the drunk man, who was pinned under the left rear wheel of the bus.

What followed was pandemonium that ended in a riot involving about 400 people, and 320 policemen to control them.

Investigations revealed that after Sakthivel disembarked, he was walking or running after the bus in “an unsteady manner”. “He then stumbled, tripped and fell onto the path of the rear tyre of the bus and was run over, ” the police added.

Sunday 1 December 2013

胡立阳股市观点

(From Article)

我的观察研究是,一波真正行情的开始,常会经过两个初期阶段:
一、大涨之后的下面3天,行情大多呈现欲罢不能的走势,指数常是气势如虹般的不断冲高。倘若大涨之后的第二天指数就已经走不太动了,甚至大幅拉回,这就必须注意,如果再宽限两天,也就是到3∼5天都无法再创反弹高点或是维持在高档区域,就有可能是假突破或只是昙花一现的跌深反弹。因为股市在关键点反弹必须一鼓作气,否则就会演变成“再而衰、三而竭”的下场。
二、大涨之后的第5∼15个交易日,是行情最疲累的时段,指数常会拉回休息。在这10天之间,必须注意指数不能又跌回起涨点,并且逐日观察大盘的10日移动平均线,是否仍维持在上升状态,以确定行情尚未熄火。